Q. Europa League Primera Ronda. Final
Global 1-3
Slavia Sofia vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slavia Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
SSO
3 - 1
MON
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
LSO
0 - 1
SSO
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
SSO
0 - 5
LUD
29%
29%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
SSO
1 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BER
1 - 1
SSO
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
SLA
1 - 4
ZAL
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
RCH
0 - 2
ZAL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PGL
0 - 1
ZAL
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
ZAL
3 - 0
LPO
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
POG
1 - 3
ZAL
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |