Sl Navy vs Matara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sl Navy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
NEG
1 - 1
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 0
JAV
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
COL
0 - 0
NAV
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
NAV
4 - 1
RSC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ARM
0 - 1
NAV
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Matara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAT
0 - 0
FOR
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SAU
0 - 0
MAT
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
NEG
1 - 1
MAT
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |