Skovde AIK vs Jönköpings Södra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
16º
7º
25
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
25 | 60 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 56 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 55 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 54 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 47 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 44 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 42 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 40 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 38 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 38 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 35 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 33 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 30 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 18 |
16º
|
83% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 49% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 28% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skovde AIK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SKO
0 - 2
SKO
33%
25%
42%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
NOR
2 - 2
SKO
53%
23%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SKO
1 - 4
LJU
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
SKO
1 - 1
ESK
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
TRO
6 - 1
SKO
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Jönköpings Södra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
JON
1 - 0
NOR
38%
26%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
JON
3 - 1
ESK
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
TIK
2 - 0
JON
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 0
JON
23%
23%
54%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
JON
2 - 0
LBK
41%
25%
34%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |