Skjervøy vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
7º
12º
11º
18
1º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 63 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 54 |
3º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 49 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 41 |
6º
|
51% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 29 |
10º
|
25% | |
|
|
11º
|
18 | 29 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 22 |
12º
|
41.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 19 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 13 |
14º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
90% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skjervøy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
IKJ
10 - 1
SIK
73%
16%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
SIK
0 - 3
FLO
29%
23%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SIK
3 - 2
SOI
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SIK
0 - 1
TRO
6%
14%
80%
|
38 | 81 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2025 |
GOF
1 - 1
SIK
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
HAR
0 - 1
KFU
64%
17%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
HAR
1 - 4
FRI
14%
17%
69%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
ALT
0 - 4
HAR
18%
19%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
ILU
2 - 1
HAR
24%
20%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
IKJ
2 - 1
HAR
64%
19%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |