Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-2
KF Shkëndija vs HJK Helsinki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
36.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DAC
0 - 4
SHK
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 0
DAC
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
SHK
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 1
PEL
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
REN
4 - 4
SHK
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
HJK
3 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
HJK
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
HJK
23%
23%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
HJK
2 - 0
IFK
59%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
KUO
0 - 2
HJK
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |