Skanstes vs FK Mārupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
5º
8º
6º
7
4º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
16 | 55 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 53 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 50 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 47 |
5º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
7 | 38 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 32 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 32 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 31 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 27 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
7 | 26 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 25 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 24 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 14 |
14º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 14.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Skanstes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 2
SKA
50%
21%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 2
HJP
40%
22%
38%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SKA
2 - 1
VJK
24%
22%
54%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 2
SKA
74%
14%
12%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 2
FSM
23%
20%
57%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FK Mārupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 1
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
FKB
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
DRS
0 - 11
MAR
51%
21%
28%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +4 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
SKA
8%
15%
77%
|
15 | 53 | 38 | +12 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FKV
0 - 7
MAR
10%
14%
76%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |