Brederis/Meiningen vs Hard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
67.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
16º
16º
52
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
89% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
89% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Brederis/Meiningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LOC
4 - 1
BRE
85%
10%
5%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
4 - 1
BRE
71%
16%
13%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 3
NEN
12%
15%
73%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
3 - 1
SCF
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
AND
8 - 1
BRE
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
5 - 1
FCH
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
3 - 2
SCF
71%
17%
13%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BEZ
2 - 5
HAR
26%
21%
54%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HAR
1 - 2
AUS
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
LUD
1 - 2
HAR
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |