SK Brann vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
16º
3º
22
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
42 | 62 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 60 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 50 |
4º
|
31.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 42 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 41 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 39 |
11º
|
25.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
13º
|
30.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 29 |
14º
|
53.5% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 22 |
15º
|
79.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 13 |
16º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
13% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15.5% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 95% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
BBS
0 - 0
RBK
41%
24%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
BRY
2 - 1
BBS
16%
21%
62%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VIF
2 - 4
BBS
39%
24%
37%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BBS
3 - 2
BRY
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
BJA
0 - 2
BBS
9%
15%
76%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
S08
4 - 0
HAM
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
S08
3 - 1
SDF
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
VKG
0 - 0
S08
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
S08
2 - 3
STR
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2025 |
GOF
1 - 6
S08
4%
11%
85%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |