Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 6-1
SK Brann vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SK Brann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 2
BBS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
BBS
0 - 1
HÄC
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
HÄC
0 - 2
BBS
44%
22%
35%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
S08
1 - 4
BBS
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2025 |
RBS
1 - 1
BBS
39%
23%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
WAR
2 - 1
AEK
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
AEK
4 - 1
WAR
51%
23%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
AEK
2 - 1
CEL
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 1
AEK
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
PAR
2 - 1
AEK
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |