Siruela vs UD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
69.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siruela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FMO
5 - 2
SIR
70%
17%
13%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SIR
0 - 3
VAL
14%
19%
67%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PGA
0 - 2
SIR
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SIR
2 - 1
SBA
21%
21%
58%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LOG
4 - 1
SIR
71%
17%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PUL
3 - 0
OCD
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
PUL
60%
20%
21%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PUL
5 - 0
CAS
73%
16%
11%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ZOR
0 - 1
PUL
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FMO
1 - 1
PUL
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |