Siroki Brijeg vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
10º
8º
53
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siroki Brijeg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 3
SIR
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SIR
0 - 1
VEL
36%
29%
35%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SIR
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SIR
1 - 2
BBL
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SIR
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
POS
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SAR
2 - 1
ZBE
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SLO
0 - 1
SAR
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
VEL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
ZRI
4 - 3
SAR
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |