IK Sirius vs Hammarby IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
7º
14º
12º
42
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 64 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 59 |
2º
|
44% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 49 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 48 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 42 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 41 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
38.5% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 27 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
29.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 26 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 27% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 62.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
4% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
HAL
0 - 1
SIR
18%
23%
59%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 1
OIF
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
MJÄ
2 - 1
SIR
38%
26%
37%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
SIR
0 - 1
GÖT
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 2
MJÄ
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hammarby IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2025 |
HIF
0 - 1
RBK
38%
23%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
NOR
0 - 2
HIF
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2025 |
RBK
0 - 0
HIF
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
HIF
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 3
HIF
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |