IK Sirius vs Djurgårdens IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
14º
11º
28
6º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 62 |
1º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 57 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 53 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 51 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 51 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 49 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 49 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 37 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 26 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
49% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 21 |
16º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 99% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IK Sirius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
1 - 2
SIR
29%
26%
45%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SIR
3 - 1
SEI
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
GEF
0 - 1
SIR
12%
17%
71%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
HIF
4 - 0
SIR
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AIK
4 - 2
SIR
40%
26%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Djurgårdens IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
DJU
0 - 1
MFF
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
DJU
0 - 1
KUO
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
DJU
3 - 0
PAF
50%
25%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
BRO
2 - 1
DJU
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2025 |
PAF
1 - 0
DJU
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |