Siracusa vs Trapani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PER
2 - 0
SIR
48%
27%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SIR
0 - 0
USC
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FER
1 - 2
SIR
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIR
3 - 1
SPE
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TRI
4 - 0
SIR
64%
23%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Trapani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
TRA
0 - 0
USC
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SPE
2 - 0
TRA
63%
24%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TRA
1 - 1
ASA
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
TRA
32%
29%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TRA
2 - 0
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |