Siracusa vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 0
NUO
40%
27%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
SIR
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SIR
4 - 2
AKR
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
REG
0 - 2
SIR
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SIR
1 - 1
FIA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
USF
1 - 0
FCC
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAT
3 - 1
FCC
75%
16%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 2
JUS
23%
27%
51%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
FCC
56%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |