Sioux Falls Thunder vs Joy St. Louis Park analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
69.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sioux Falls Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
5 - 0
SFT
90%
8%
3%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
SFT
8%
14%
77%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
SFT
0 - 4
MEC
11%
17%
73%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
SFT
2 - 1
DUL
9%
15%
76%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
JOY
3 - 0
SFT
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Joy St. Louis Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
JOY
1 - 5
DUL
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
DAK
1 - 0
JOY
8%
14%
79%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
JOY
2 - 3
MIN
23%
20%
57%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 6
JOY
5%
11%
84%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
JOY
3 - 0
SFT
86%
10%
5%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |