Challenge League Round 3

Sion vs AC Bellinzona analysis

Sion AC Bellinzona
68 ELO 55
-7.2% Tilt 16.5%
322º General ELO ranking 1651º
10º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
62.6%
Sion
22.2%
Draw
15.2%
AC Bellinzona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
Sion
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
AC Bellinzona
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sion
-1%
-8%
AC Bellinzona

Points and table prediction

Sion
Their league position
AC Bellinzona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
79
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sion
79
79
100%
Thun
76
76
100%
FC Vaduz
49
49
0%
Neuchâtel Xamax
49
49
0%
FC Wil
44
44
100%
Aarau
43
43
0%
Stade Nyonnais
43
43
0%
AC Bellinzona
42
42
100%
Schaffhausen
38
38
100%
Baden
10º
26
26
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sion
AC Bellinzona
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sion
AC Bellinzona
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sion
Sion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jul. 2023
SIO
Sion
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
33%
26%
42%
67 68 1 0
23 Jul. 2023
FCV
FC Vaduz
0 - 2
Sion
SIO
35%
26%
39%
66 65 1 +1
11 Jul. 2023
SIO
Sion
4 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
64%
21%
15%
66 55 11 0
05 Jul. 2023
SIO
Sion
3 - 1
Yverdon
YVE
34%
24%
42%
66 67 1 0
01 Jul. 2023
LAU
Lausanne Sports
3 - 1
Sion
SIO
49%
23%
28%
66 70 4 0

Matches

AC Bellinzona
AC Bellinzona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jul. 2023
BAD
Baden
1 - 1
AC Bellinzona
BEL
48%
23%
28%
55 56 1 0
23 Jul. 2023
BEL
AC Bellinzona
0 - 2
FC Wil
WIL
22%
24%
53%
56 63 7 -1
29 Jun. 2023
LUG
FC Lugano
3 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
77%
16%
8%
56 81 25 0
24 Jun. 2023
THU
Thun
2 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
66%
19%
15%
56 66 10 0
27 May. 2023
STA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
6 - 0
AC Bellinzona
BEL
64%
21%
15%
57 67 10 -1