Provincial Belgium Oost-Vlaanderen Round 19

Sint-Niklaas vs Berlare analysis

Sint-Niklaas Berlare
12 ELO 26
15.6% Tilt 4.8%
20849º General ELO ranking 5825º
384º Country ELO ranking 125º
ELO win probability
11.8%
Sint-Niklaas
16.9%
Draw
71.2%
Berlare

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
Sint-Niklaas
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
71.2%
Win probability
Berlare
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sint-Niklaas
-9%
+76%
Berlare

Points and table prediction

Sint-Niklaas
Their league position
Berlare
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
15º
16º
16º
43
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Toekomst Borsbeke
59
62
100%
Sint-Denijs Sport
57
60
100%
Munkzwalm
52
52
100%
KSK Beveren
50
51
100%
Svelta Melsele
48
48
100%
Sottegem
44
47
92%
Ardennen
44
47
92%
Maldegem
42
45
45%
Berlare
43
43
52%
Denderhoutem
11º
40
43
10º
50.5%
Haasdonk
10º
41
42
11º
40.5%
Eendracht Zele
12º
39
42
12º
75%
Excelsior Mariakerke
13º
31
37
13º
94.5%
Heikant Zele
14º
26
26
14º
100%
Grembergen
15º
23
24
15º
100%
Sint-Niklaas
16º
0
0
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sint-Niklaas
Berlare
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Sint-Niklaas
Berlare
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sint-Niklaas
Sint-Niklaas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
SOT
Sottegem
7 - 2
Sint-Niklaas
STN
87%
9%
4%
13 27 14 0
15 Jan. 2023
STN
Sint-Niklaas
0 - 5
KSK Beveren
KSK
16%
23%
61%
13 72 59 0
07 Jan. 2023
STN
Sint-Niklaas
1 - 6
Heikant Zele
KHZ
18%
18%
64%
14 22 8 -1
18 Dec. 2022
GBG
Grembergen
5 - 0
Sint-Niklaas
STN
78%
14%
8%
14 23 9 0
11 Dec. 2022
STN
Sint-Niklaas
0 - 2
Svelta Melsele
SVE
12%
17%
71%
15 33 18 -1

Matches

Berlare
Berlare
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
BER
Berlare
1 - 3
Sint-Denijs Sport
KVV
33%
22%
45%
26 32 6 0
15 Jan. 2023
SKM
Munkzwalm
1 - 3
Berlare
BER
67%
17%
16%
25 31 6 +1
17 Dec. 2022
BER
Berlare
2 - 1
Maldegem
MAL
33%
23%
44%
24 28 4 +1
10 Dec. 2022
KSC
Excelsior Mariakerke
2 - 2
Berlare
BER
58%
20%
22%
24 26 2 0
03 Dec. 2022
BER
Berlare
2 - 2
Denderhoutem
DEN
32%
21%
47%
24 28 4 0