Simurq vs Sumgayit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
TUR
0 - 0
SIM
41%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
REV
0 - 0
SIM
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 2
AZA
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SUM
1 - 2
SIM
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SIM
1 - 1
TUR
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SUM
2 - 0
FCK
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 1
SUM
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SUM
1 - 1
TUR
38%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SUM
1 - 2
SIM
38%
27%
36%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FCK
4 - 1
SUM
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |