Simba SC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+90%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
NAM
2 - 2
SIM
44%
27%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
YOU
2 - 1
SIM
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 1
SIM
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
ALA
2 - 0
SIM
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SIM
0 - 1
ALA
27%
23%
50%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
JKT
2 - 1
MTI
43%
29%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
MTI
0 - 1
KMC
41%
29%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GGF
2 - 2
MTI
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
KAG
0 - 0
MTI
43%
29%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MTI
2 - 1
TAN
36%
30%
34%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +2 |