Simba SC vs Mbao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
KAG
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MBE
0 - 2
SIM
38%
31%
32%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 1
SIM
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
4 - 0
MMA
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
0 - 1
SIM
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mbao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MBA
3 - 1
TOT
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
MMA
1 - 0
MBA
29%
26%
46%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MBA
0 - 0
JKT
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
MBA
2 - 0
NDA
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MTI
1 - 1
MBA
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |