Simba SC vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+119%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MBE
0 - 2
SIM
38%
31%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
YOU
1 - 1
SIM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
4 - 0
MMA
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AZA
0 - 1
SIM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
MTI
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
MMA
0 - 1
KAG
35%
28%
38%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 2
TOT
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 0
TAN
32%
32%
36%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
AFR
0 - 2
KAG
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 0
KAG
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |