Sierre vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
39.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sierre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
USC
2 - 2
SIE
44%
23%
34%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
6 - 3
BEX
49%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
PER
2 - 1
SIE
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 1
BAV
21%
23%
57%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
FCO
0 - 2
SIE
34%
23%
43%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 0
SBC
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CSC
2 - 1
FCL
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 2
STA
32%
24%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 4
COL
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
USC
1 - 0
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |