Siena vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
SIE
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
2 - 1
TRA
65%
21%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
EMP
0 - 0
SIE
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
TER
74%
19%
8%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
JUS
2 - 2
SIE
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
BAR
39%
28%
34%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
EMP
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
PES
1 - 1
AVE
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 1
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |