Siena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
0 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
SPE
1 - 0
SIE
27%
26%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 0
VIR
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CTT
1 - 0
SIE
16%
25%
59%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 1
BRE
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
3 - 3
TER
58%
25%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
MOD
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOD
4 - 2
JUS
68%
20%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 3
MOD
34%
28%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOD
0 - 0
SPE
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |