Siena vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
25.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 1
ASL
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
SAM
3 - 0
SIE
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
SAM
0 - 1
SIE
65%
21%
13%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
SIE
2 - 1
NAP
28%
27%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
TAR
1 - 0
MES
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 2
MES
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
MES
2 - 0
MOD
33%
30%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |