Siena vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
SAM
3 - 3
SIE
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
SIE
2 - 3
UDI
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ROM
2 - 3
SIE
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SIE
4 - 2
MES
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 1
SIE
29%
28%
43%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FIO
4 - 1
PAR
47%
25%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
FIO
3 - 2
LIV
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
LEC
1 - 3
FIO
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |