Siena vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
PES
2 - 3
SIE
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 0
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 2
SIE
50%
25%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
SIE
0 - 0
CAG
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
SIE
53%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAT
35%
29%
37%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
UDI
3 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
ACM
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PES
0 - 2
CHI
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
NAP
24%
27%
49%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |