Siegburger SV 04 vs Bonner SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
63.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
15º
13º
56
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
HUR
1 - 1
SIE
41%
24%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 1
SVE
27%
22%
52%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 0
SIE
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 0
KON
15%
17%
68%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
BFR
2 - 1
SIE
50%
23%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bonner SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
BSC
2 - 0
BWF
81%
12%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BGP
1 - 5
BSC
14%
20%
67%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BSC
3 - 1
SCF
69%
17%
14%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
BER
1 - 1
BSC
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
BSC
1 - 0
VFL
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +2 |