Siegburger SV 04 vs Bergisch Gladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
5º
15º
6º
52
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 62 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 60 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 60 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
72.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
68% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 34 |
12º
|
76% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 31 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 29 |
14º
|
64% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
99% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 11 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FVE
1 - 0
SIE
8%
14%
78%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFL
1 - 3
SIE
79%
13%
9%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SIE
3 - 3
SCF
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
VFL
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
SPF
2 - 4
SIE
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
VFL
48%
24%
29%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SCF
2 - 5
BER
24%
21%
55%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BER
3 - 2
SPV
88%
8%
4%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
BER
3 - 4
SPO
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
BWF
2 - 4
BER
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |