Shrewsbury Town vs Wrexham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
STF
3 - 1
FLE
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
BUR
1 - 0
STF
53%
26%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 0
STF
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
STF
1 - 2
POS
17%
23%
60%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STF
0 - 3
OPA
20%
26%
54%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Wrexham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2024 |
WRE
4 - 1
BAR
71%
18%
12%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2023 |
WAL
3 - 1
WRE
14%
23%
62%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
SWI
0 - 1
WRE
18%
23%
59%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
WRE
2 - 0
NEW
73%
17%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
WRE
2 - 1
COL
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |