Shrewsbury Town vs Newcastle Sub 21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
STF
1 - 2
NOR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
OPA
0 - 0
STF
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
MID
4 - 3
STF
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
STF
2 - 3
OXF
27%
27%
45%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BRO
0 - 1
STF
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
POR
2 - 1
NWC
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
STF
3 - 0
NWC
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 1
NWC
56%
22%
23%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
SUN
4 - 0
NWC
81%
14%
6%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
NWC
1 - 1
MAC
29%
22%
48%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |