Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
CER
3 - 4
SHO
57%
23%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
SHO
2 - 1
VEN
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
YOK
0 - 2
SHO
18%
25%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 1
TOC
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
TOK
2 - 1
SHO
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 0
TOC
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
MIT
5 - 0
AVI
51%
25%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SAG
3 - 1
AVI
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
AVI
1 - 2
TOK
33%
26%
41%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2009 |
VEN
6 - 0
AVI
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |