Shkupi vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
0
5º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 49% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 32% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 16.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
SHK
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
4 - 2
TIK
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AKP
0 - 1
SHK
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SHK
6 - 0
VOK
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LJU
3 - 0
REN
4%
10%
86%
|
61 | 5 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKB
1 - 5
REN
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
FKS
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |