Shkupi vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
39
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
SHK
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 2
SHK
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SHK
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 6
SHK
12%
23%
65%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
MAK
7 - 0
POB
77%
17%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 1
MAK
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
FKS
69%
21%
10%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
MAK
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
AKP
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |