Shirak vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
53.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 0
SHI
76%
14%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SHI
2 - 1
BAN
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 3
SHI
42%
26%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SHI
0 - 2
BAN
18%
27%
55%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
SHI
0 - 0
PYU
17%
25%
59%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
MIK
3 - 1
PYU
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PYU
0 - 0
MIK
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
MIK
0 - 0
PYU
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
ULI
0 - 3
MIK
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MIK
1 - 0
GAN
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |