Shirak vs Noah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
7º
32
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2023 |
VAN
3 - 0
SHI
34%
26%
41%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
ALA
27%
27%
46%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
AVA
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 2
BAN
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
ARA
43%
28%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Noah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NOA
2 - 1
AVA
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
NOA
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
NOA
1 - 3
PYU
29%
27%
45%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
NOA
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
NOA
1 - 2
BKM
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |