Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 1
SKA
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
YAR
2 - 2
FCK
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
YAR
26%
28%
46%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
YAR
1 - 0
OLY
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
YAR
40%
28%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 4
AVA
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 2
MOR
73%
18%
8%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
TOM
35%
28%
38%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -4 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
VLA
0 - 1
MOR
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
CHE
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |