CSL round 12

Cangzhou Mighty Lions vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger analysis

Cangzhou Mighty Lions Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
60 ELO 71
1.4% Tilt 25.4%
27626º General ELO ranking 970º
110º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
27.3%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
26.8%
Draw
45.9%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
45.9%
Win probability
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Their league position
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
14º
12º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shanghái Port
78
78
100%
Shanghai Shenhua
77
77
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng
59
59
100%
Beijing Guoan
56
56
100%
Shandong Taishan
48
48
100%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
42
42
100%
Zhejiang FC
38
38
100%
Henan FC
36
36
100%
Changchun Yatai
32
32
100%
Qingdao West Coast
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Wuhan Three Towns
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
13º
29
29
12º
100%
Shenzhen Peng City
14º
29
29
13º
0%
Qingdao Hainiu
12º
29
29
14º
0%
Meizhou Hakka
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Nantong Zhiyun
16º
22
22
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 May. 2024
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
0 - 1
Zhejiang FC
HAN
19%
24%
57%
61 74 13 0
05 May. 2024
MEI
Meizhou Hakka
1 - 1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
45%
24%
32%
61 62 1 0
01 May. 2024
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
4 - 0
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
70%
19%
11%
61 80 19 0
26 Apr. 2024
SHI
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2 - 3
Henan FC
HEN
34%
27%
39%
62 68 6 -1
20 Apr. 2024
SHA
Shandong Taishan
4 - 1
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
SHI
78%
14%
8%
62 81 19 0

Matches

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2024
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0 - 0
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
24%
27%
49%
71 81 10 0
04 May. 2024
HEN
Henan FC
1 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
41%
28%
32%
70 68 2 +1
30 Apr. 2024
TIT
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0 - 1
Beijing Guoan
BEI
32%
27%
41%
70 77 7 0
26 Apr. 2024
WFC
Wuhan Three Towns
2 - 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
54%
24%
22%
70 73 3 0
19 Apr. 2024
HAN
Zhejiang FC
3 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
52%
26%
23%
70 73 3 0