UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 0-5
Sheriff vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SHF
1 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
SHF
1 - 0
ULI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 4
SHF
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
ULI
0 - 1
SHF
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
SHF
5 - 0
COS
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
2 - 1
HNK
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
3 - 2
LUD
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
INT
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
LUD
1 - 1
DZG
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
DZG
0 - 0
SPL
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |