UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 2-2
Sheriff vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
SHF
3 - 0
TIR
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
DIN
1 - 0
SHF
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
SHF
3 - 1
DIN
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
DAC
0 - 2
SHF
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
FCS
0 - 2
SHF
20%
28%
53%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
DZG
4 - 1
HDR
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2010 |
FCK
3 - 0
DZG
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
DZG
1 - 0
HKS
54%
22%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2010 |
DZG
5 - 1
FCK
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
DZG
1 - 1
KAR
86%
10%
5%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |