Shepshed vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
OSS
6 - 0
SHE
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 1
KID
24%
24%
53%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
BRI
1 - 1
SHE
75%
16%
9%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
SHE
80%
14%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SHE
0 - 1
MOS
22%
23%
56%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
ROC
2 - 4
SPA
37%
25%
39%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
SPA
3 - 1
KEN
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 2
EAS
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
WIL
2 - 1
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 1
WOS
34%
25%
42%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |