Shepshed vs Grantham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 2
NEW
22%
23%
56%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SUT
4 - 1
SHE
89%
8%
3%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GOO
3 - 1
SHE
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
SHE
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
SHE
2 - 1
KID
8%
17%
75%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | +3 |
Matches
Grantham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
4 - 2
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
HUC
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 3
GRA
33%
25%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 1
BRI
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
QUO
0 - 5
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |