Shepshed vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
49.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shepshed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
BEL
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
KID
2 - 0
SHE
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2010 |
SPA
2 - 3
SHE
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
SHE
1 - 1
STA
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MIC
2 - 1
SHE
60%
21%
20%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
1 - 1
GRA
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 1
GLA
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 1
CHA
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 15 | 29 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CHA
2 - 2
LIN
69%
20%
12%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
LOU
2 - 2
CHA
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |