Chinese Super League Round 4

Shenzhen FC vs Henan FC analysis

Shenzhen FC Henan FC
56 ELO 69
5.8% Tilt 10.7%
20181º General ELO ranking 1332º
83º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.9%
Shenzhen FC
26.7%
Draw
51.5%
Henan FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
Shenzhen FC
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
51.5%
Win probability
Henan FC
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Shenzhen FC
Their league position
Henan FC
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
16º
16º
36
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Shanghái Port
63
63
100%
Shandong Taishan
58
58
100%
Zhejiang FC
55
55
100%
Chengdu Rongcheng
53
53
100%
Shanghai Shenhua
52
52
100%
Beijing Guoan
51
51
0%
Wuhan Three Towns
51
51
0%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
48
48
100%
Changchun Yatai
39
39
100%
Henan FC
10º
36
36
10º
100%
Meizhou Hakka
11º
34
34
11º
100%
Cangzhou Mighty Lions
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Qingdao Hainiu
13º
28
28
13º
100%
Nantong Zhiyun
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Dalian Pro
15º
20
20
15º
100%
Shenzhen FC
16º
12
12
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Shenzhen FC
Henan FC
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Shenzhen FC
Henan FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Shenzhen FC
Shenzhen FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2023
SHE
Shenzhen FC
0 - 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
27%
27%
46%
56 65 9 0
22 Apr. 2023
SHA
Shanghái Port
3 - 2
Shenzhen FC
SHE
81%
14%
5%
57 82 25 -1
16 Apr. 2023
SHE
Shenzhen FC
2 - 1
Qingdao Hainiu
QIN
25%
26%
49%
56 65 9 +1
30 Dec. 2022
SHA
Shanghai Shenhua
2 - 0
Shenzhen FC
SHE
73%
18%
9%
56 75 19 0
27 Dec. 2022
SHE
Shenzhen FC
0 - 3
Guangzhou City
GUA
46%
26%
28%
58 57 1 -2

Matches

Henan FC
Henan FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 2023
GUA
Nantong Zhiyun
1 - 0
Henan FC
HEN
31%
28%
41%
70 64 6 0
21 Apr. 2023
HEN
Henan FC
0 - 0
Qingdao Hainiu
QIN
56%
24%
19%
71 65 6 -1
16 Apr. 2023
HEN
Henan FC
1 - 1
Chengdu Rongcheng
CBC
43%
28%
29%
70 72 2 +1
30 Dec. 2022
HEB
Hebei FC
0 - 4
Henan FC
HEN
12%
23%
65%
71 46 25 -1
27 Dec. 2022
HEN
Henan FC
1 - 1
Shanghai Shenhua
SHA
36%
28%
36%
70 75 5 +1