Q. Europa League Ronda Previa. Final
Global 2-4
Shelbourne vs NK Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shelbourne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2003 |
SHE
2 - 3
SLR
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
SLR
0 - 0
SHE
20%
25%
55%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
NKO
1 - 0
SHE
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2003 |
SHE
1 - 1
CAO
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
CAO
0 - 2
SHE
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NK Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
NKO
1 - 0
NKD
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
NKO
0 - 3
GOR
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
NKO
1 - 0
SHE
65%
20%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
NKM
0 - 4
NKO
28%
25%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
NKO
2 - 2
CEL
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |