FA Cup . 1/32
Global 1-0
Sheffield Wednesday vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
SHW
1 - 1
BIR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
WBA
1 - 1
SHW
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
MID
0 - 1
SHW
52%
27%
21%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
SHW
1 - 0
PNE
36%
26%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 1
SHW
62%
22%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
LUT
0 - 0
BAR
55%
22%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 2
LUT
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
SCU
0 - 2
LUT
18%
24%
58%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LUT
2 - 0
BUR
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
COV
1 - 2
LUT
21%
26%
53%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |