Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
QPR
1 - 2
SHW
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
SHW
1 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SHW
2 - 1
NEW
26%
27%
47%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ROT
0 - 2
SHW
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
SHW
43%
26%
30%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
HUR
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
BRE
4 - 0
DER
43%
26%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
BIR
1 - 2
DER
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
DER
4 - 2
FUL
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
QPR
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |