Sheffield Wednesday vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
SHW
0 - 0
COV
58%
22%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1997 |
GRI
2 - 0
SHW
15%
22%
64%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
LIV
2 - 1
SHW
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
SHW
1 - 0
LEI
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1997 |
BBU
7 - 2
SHW
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
ASV
2 - 1
DER
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1997 |
SOU
0 - 1
DER
24%
27%
50%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
DER
3 - 1
EVE
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1997 |
DER
1 - 0
BAR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1997 |
TOT
1 - 0
DER
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |