EFL Cup . 1/32
Global 7-4
Sheffield Wednesday vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield Wednesday
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
LEE
2 - 0
SHW
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1995 |
SHW
0 - 0
MUD
29%
25%
46%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
CRE
2 - 2
SHW
24%
24%
53%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
SHW
1 - 3
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
QPR
0 - 3
SHW
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1995 |
CRE
2 - 2
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1995 |
CRE
2 - 2
SHW
24%
24%
53%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1995 |
BOU
0 - 4
CRE
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1995 |
CRE
3 - 1
BHA
68%
19%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1995 |
CRE
3 - 0
STF
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |